क्या नाम से फर्क पड़ सकता है? - देव आनंद

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क्या नाम से फर्क पड़ सकता है? की श्रृंखला में आपका स्वागत है नाम के अक्षर विभिन्न तत्वों के सदस्य हैं जैसे जल मण्डल , अग्नि मण्डल , पृथ्वी मण्डल  और वायु मण्डल । देव आनंद बहुमुखी व्यक्तित्व के धनी एक सफल अभिनेता और कलाकार थे। आज मैं उनके फिल्मी नाम देव और असली नाम धरमदेव दोनों का विश्लेषण करूंगा और जानूंगा कि उनके सफल करियर में उनके नाम का कोई योगदान है या नहीं। नाम देव  आनंद   -  देव शब्द में एक अक्षर वायु मण्डल से और एक अक्षर अग्नि मण्डल से। दोनों तत्व एक दूसरे के मित्र हैं अर्थात एक दूसरे की टांग नहीं खींचते और एक दूसरे की मदद करते हैं जिससे 1 + 1 = 11 हो जाता है। उपनाम आनंद - 1 अक्षर जल मंडल, 2 अक्षर वायु मंडल। अब वायु मंडल के कुल अक्षर 3 हुए (१ देव शब्द से और २ आनंद शब्द से) + अग्नि मंडल अक्षर 1 ( देव शब्द से )  =  कुल  मित्र अक्षर 4 और जल मंडल अक्षर 1 (आनंद शब्द से). अगर विरोधी समाज अनुपात 1 विभाजित 4 = 0.25 जो 0.33 जितना या उससे  कम है तो अल्पमत हार मान लेता है और विपरीत पक्ष का मित्र बन जाता है। अतः देव आनंद नाम के 5 अक्षर सही हैं। नाम धरमदेव  आनंद    -  धरमदेव शब्द  इस नाम में

When to buy long-term equity anticipation securities (LEAPS) put options ?

 When to buy long-term equity anticipation securities (LEAPS) put options ?

“What goes Up, must come down” Sir Isaac Newton. 

However, there will always be uncertainties on when markets would fall and when to buy put options. Analysis of historical price data can be one such path to know answers to these questions.

SPX (S&P 500) has been trading since 1789 and has more than 39000 trading days of historical price data. The best time to check is when market creates all time high (ATH).  When ATH gets created, Markets would either move on to create few more ATH and/or would top out. 

Analyzing the past data has shown SPX gradually falls maximum 21.7% from ATH during distribution phase, SPX created ATH of 4818.62 on Jan 4, 2022. Either SPX can create new high from there or it may gradually fall 21% to reach 3773.51 levels. Since far out of the money (OTM LEAPS Puts) with expiry in next few years would be much cheaper, the best time to buy those puts when market creates ATH. If Market creates new high which is higher than last ATH of 4818.62 then it will require calculation of 21.7% from those levels.

Below is the chart of 1992 onwards aprox 8000 records that depicts daily price level. Series 1 in blue is prices while series 2 in Red is the level that price is expected to touch. As can be seen periodically prices has fallen to the end of distribution phase and at times even gone below that to Mark down phase.



Disclaimer - This is not a investment or trading advice / recommendation. It does not look at Technical Analysis or Fundamental Analysis. The outcome could be prone to data issues or calculation issues. This post is for information purpose only.  The higher probability percentage or ranking does not guarantee the actual outcome to be matching with that of predicted outcome.

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